NBA

Expansion Simulator 93

War Room Model • Shams Charania NBA Today Reporting

Franchise Status: Expansion Ready
City: Seattle
Venue: Climate Pledge Arena
Target Year: 2026-27 Season

Market Selection Select Active Front Office

Primary Arena: Climate Pledge Arena
Basketball Capacity: 18,300
Media Market Rank: #12 (Metro Seattle-Tacoma)
Media Valuation Index: 1.45x
Franchise Valuation Base: $7.5 - $8.0 Billion

Financial Assumptions

$450M
$300M (Entry Benchmark) $4,000M $8,000M (2026 Est.)
$145.0M
$130.0M $145.0M (Locked Baseline) $175.0M (2026 Peak)
$78.0M

Front Office Ledger

Amortized Fee Impact (Per Team): $15.0M 30 Existing NBA Owners
Est. Annual Revenue: $315.5M Media + Arena Gate
Total Roster Payroll: $61.2M 5 Selected Players
Projected Cap Space: $83.8M Operating Flexibility
Roster Average Rating: 82.0

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Financial Distribution Breakdown Cap Space vs Payroll & Revenue

Payroll ($61.2M) Cap Space ($83.8M) Est. Revenue ($315.5M) Amortized Fee ($15.0M)

Executive Front Office Summary

Primary Source: Shams Charania (@ShamsCharania) on NBA Today reporting NBA expansion targets in Las Vegas and Seattle.

Economic References: NBA 11-year $76B domestic media deal (effective 2025-26), 2025-26 salary cap projection ($154.6M / $145.0M baseline), 30-team expansion fee distribution model, Climate Pledge Arena (18,300 capacity), T-Mobile Arena (18,000–20,000 capacity).

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