23
Away (KC)
24
Home (PHI)
10.8
Possessions / Team
58% / 62%
Red Zone Efficiency
+0.2
Turnover Diff
Drive Flow & Field Position Chart
Seed: Active Simulation
4th-Down Situational Decision Matrix
4th & 2 at Opponent 38 (Q3 4:15)
Expected Points Added (EPA) and historical success rates tailored to current game flow state:
GO FOR IT
+1.42 EPA
Conv. Prob: 64.8%
★ OPTIMAL
55-YD FIELD GOAL
+0.38 EPA
Make Prob: 59.1%
PUNT PIN
-0.85 EPA
Expected Net: 31 Yds
Key Matchup Leverage: Away 3rd-and-Medium conversion rate (+14.2% win leverage)
Historical Friday NFL Broadcast Slate Benchmark
| Broadcast Window | Avg Total Pts | Short Rest Spread Δ | Pass Rate | Underdog Cover % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friday Marquee (Current Era) | 47.2 | +1.8 pts | 61.4% | 54.2% |
| Thursday Night Football (TNF) | 43.1 | +2.9 pts | 58.8% | 48.1% |
| Sunday Standard Slate | 45.8 | +0.4 pts | 60.1% | 50.3% |
| International / Neutral Venue | 46.9 | -0.5 pts | 62.5% | 56.0% |