NFL Offensive Line Pressure & Protection Explorer

Protection Parameters

Target: Justin Herbert (50 Dropbacks)

Scenario Presets

Pass-Block Win Rate (PBWR) 54.2%

NFL Average: ~58-61%. Rate of linemen sustaining blocks for ≥2.5s.

Opponent Pass-Rush Win Rate (PRWR) 41.5%

Defensive win rate beat within 2.5s window.

Time-to-Throw (TTT) 2.85s

Justin Herbert average: ~2.85s. Longer times heighten pressure exponentially.

Defensive Blitz Rate 32.0%

Frequency of 5+ pass-rushers overwhelming standard protections.

Game Dropback Sample 50

Target game baseline volume for pressure count estimation.

Pressure Rate 41.8% Expected defensive pocket breach

Estimated Pressures 21 Per 50 dropbacks

Projected Sacks 5.4 ~25.8% pressure-to-sack rate

Pocket Survival Rating 58.2% Clean platform dropback probability

Time-to-Pressure Probability Curve (0 to 4.5s)

Instant Simulation

Current TTT Marker

Protection Phase	Time Threshold	Calculated Hazard	Herbert Exposure Impact
Immediate Edge Breach	< 2.20s	14.2%	Blown assignments / unblocked pass rushers
Interior Pocket Collapse	2.20s - 2.80s	28.5%	Bull-rush push directly in QB's throwing platform
Late Holding Breakdown	> 2.80s	57.3%	Extended coverage duress requiring scramble or throwaway
Estimated QB Hits / Knockdowns	Total Game	9.8 Hits	Severe accumulated contact threat