NFL Pacing Lab

NFL Single Season Points Record Pace Tracker

Source: @AdamSchefter · "The 2013 Broncos... scored an NFL record 606 pts. The Bears scored 59 in opener..." Verified Tweet
17-Game Scoring Trajectory Record-Breaking Pace
Projected Total
1003
Across 17 games
vs 2013 Broncos
+397
606 pt record target
Projected PPG
59.0
Broncos was 37.9
Feasibility
Extreme Outlier
Historical deviation
Offensive Trajectory Modeler Live Adjustment
Quick Scenario Presets
59 pts
Actual Bears score in Week 1 under HC Ben Johnson
59.0 PPG
Broncos 2013 full-season avg was 37.88 PPG
100%
Simulates variance dampening across opponents & weather
Pacing Reality Check: To surpass the 2013 Broncos (606 pts in 16 games, 37.88 PPG), a 17-game team needs at least 35.71 PPG across all 17 games, or 34.25 PPG over the remaining 16 weeks after scoring 59 in Week 1.
NFL All-Time Single Season Scoring Record Holders Official Record: 606 Pts
Rank Team Season Games Total Pts PPG 17-Game Equiv. Context
1 Denver Broncos 2013 16 606 RECORD 37.88 644 Peyton Manning 55 Pass TDs; referenced by Schefter
2 New England Patriots 2007 16 589 36.81 626 Brady & Moss 16-0 regular season
3 Kansas City Chiefs 2018 16 565 35.31 600 Patrick Mahomes 50 TD MVP season
4 Minnesota Vikings 1998 16 556 34.75 591 Randall Cunningham & rookie Randy Moss
5 New Orleans Saints 2011 16 547 34.19 581 Drew Brees 5,476 passing yards
6 Dallas Cowboys 2021 17 530 31.18 530 Highest total in the 17-game era
PROJ Current Model Projection Current 17 1003 59.00 1003 Week 1 extrapolated pace vs 606-point benchmark
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