Nico Collins Hamstring DNP Recovery & Target Reallocation Analyzer

Practice Designation Simulator

Day-over-Day Trajectory

Collins Practice Designation (Week Trajectory)

Player Evaluated

Nico Collins

Houston Texans • WR1

Designation Status

Non-Participant (Hamstring DNP)

Downgraded from Limited

Game Availability Prob

52%

Historical Thursday DNP baseline

Projected Snap Share

45.0%

High limitation / rotation risk

Historical Risk Tier

High (Consecutive Day Downgrade - DNP)

33% general WR recurrence rate within same season

Primary Volume Beneficiary

Tank Dell & Stefon Diggs

+14.2% combined target funnel share

Simulate Collins Inactivity Severity DNP Baseline (100% reallocation)

Historical WR Injury Datasets

Game-Day Active Rate by Practice Trajectory Trajectory: Limited → DNP Downgrade

Historical WR Baseline

Nico Collins Current Path

Projected Texans Pass Volume Distribution Pass Attempts Est: ~36

Clinical & Trend Insights: Hamstring Downgrades

Mid-week Downgrade Penalty: Wide receivers progressing from Limited (Wed) to DNP (Thu) historically participate on Sunday in only 52% of instances due to acute reinjury fear.
Snap Cap & Deceleration: Even if active, WRs with mid-week hamstring tweaks average 45.0% snap shares and reduced burst in route running.
Target Concentration: Stefon Diggs and Tank Dell's high target-per-route-run rates absorb 66.5% of vacated primary targets.

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