Cycles (1992-2024)
9
7 Unique Nominees
Dominant Archetype
VP / Exec (55.5%)
3 VPs, 2 Govs, 3 Sens
2028 Market Leader
A. Ocasio-Cortez
21.5% Implied Probability
General Win Rate
55.6%
5 of 9 Won (2 PV Won)
Career Pathway & Nomination Lineage Matrix
Governor (Clinton '92)
Vice President (Gore '00, Biden '20, Harris '24)
U.S. Senator (Kerry '04, Obama '08)
Cabinet / Sec (H. Clinton '16, Buttigieg)
Representative / Insurgent (AOC 2028)
* Node height denotes primary vote share; connecting bands represent career pathway transitions.
Hover or tap any cycle or 2028 contender node to inspect details
Historical Nomination Precedent Database (1992–2024)
| Year | Nominee | Prior Primary Office | Age | Primary Share | General Result | Archetype Precedent |
|---|