Matchup Model Inputs
Rivalry & Scenario Presets
Projected Simulation & Win Probability
Monte Carlo Model (N=5,000)
MICHIGAN STATE
17
+14.0
PROJECTED FINAL
O/U: 48.0
NOTRE DAME
31
-14.0
Key Advantage: Notre Dame Defensive Front vs Michigan State Pass Protection.
Notre Dame commands a projected 31 - 17 edge with a 71.4% win probability in front of the home crowd at Notre Dame Stadium.
| Spartans | Projected Stat Metric | Fighting Irish |
|---|---|---|
| 312 yds | Total Net Offense | 418 yds |
| 34.8% | 3rd Down Conversion | 46.2% |
| 1.8 | Projected Sacks Recorded | 3.4 |
| 68% | Red Zone TD Efficiency | 79% |