8 Division Series Clubs. One Commissioner's Trophy.
Dodgers (28.4%) & Yankees (21.6%) lead title projections. Click any team or series to simulate.
Live Division Series to World Series Matrix
Tap any team to inspect specific odds & path
AL Division Series (Bo5)
League Championship (Bo7)
World Series (Bo7)
NL Division Series (Bo5)
ALDS A (Best of 5)
Tied 0-0
#1
NY Yankees
21.6%
#5
KC Royals
5.8%
ALDS B (Best of 5)
Tied 0-0
#2
Cleveland
11.4%
#6
Detroit
7.2%
AL Pennant (Bo7)
Scheduled
AL
NYY / KC
59.8%
AL
CLE / DET
40.2%
NL Pennant (Bo7)
Scheduled
NL
LAD / SD
54.5%
NL
PHI / NYM
45.5%
NLDS A (Best of 5)
Tied 0-0
#1
LA Dodgers
28.4%
#4
SD Padres
13.1%
NLDS B (Best of 5)
Tied 0-0
#2
Philadelphia
16.2%
#6
NY Mets
8.1%
Inning-by-Inning Match Duel Engine
Matchup: NY Yankees @ KC Royals (ALDS Game 1)
Final
Club
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
R
KC
0
1
0
0
2
0
0
0
0
3
NYY
1
0
0
3
0
0
1
0
X
5
Bottom 4th: Aaron Judge drives a 2-run home run into the left-field bleachers off Cole Ragans (exit velo: 111.4 mph, 428 ft). NY Yankees take the lead and bullpen shuts down late rally.
⚾ LA Dodgers
28.4% WS
Championship Route Requirements
1. Win NLDS vs SD Padres
64.2%
2. Win NLCS vs PHI / NYM
56.8%
3. Win World Series
51.1%
Highest offensive wRC+ (118) in the postseason pool with deep rotation leverage. Primary risk factor: San Diego bullpen depth in high-leverage late innings.
Championship Probability Board
10k Runs| Club | Reach CS | Pennant | Win WS |
|---|
Division Series Short-Series Variance
Unlike the 162-game regular season or 7-game pennant races, the 5-game Division Series carries high variance. Underdogs winning Game 1 see their series advance probability skyrocket from 34% to 68%. The engine models starter-reliever transition fatigue across rest days.
Monte Carlo Engine Architecture
Each simulation run computes game-by-game base run expectations based on weighted on-base percentage, isolated slugging, pitching FIP, home-park run factors, and bullpen leverage index. 10,000 complete brackets are executed per batch.
Exportable Analytical Artifacts
Export full JSON simulation runs or clean text breakdowns formatted for broadcast notes, sports betting analysis, or sports desks directly to your browser filesystem.