Packers Season Arc & Drive Dynamics Explorer

T+ 0.0s (Snap)

Situational Leverage 3rd & 6 | 1:18 4Q

Expected EPA

+0.84

Success Prob

61.4%

Win Prob Delta

+14.2%

Coverage Look

Cover 2 Man

Optimal Decision: Pass to primary boundary dig or scramble
Short checkdown yields 4.2 yds (leaves 4th & 2 field goal decision with 88.5% make prob)

Personnel Grouping

Spread spacing stresses boundary safety leverage; frees interior dig against 2-high safety split.

Game Plan Directives

Boundary boundary dig opens at 2.4s break window.
Scramble lane opens B-gap if weakside DE widens.
Protection: Half-slide left, RB check-release flat.