Final Outcome
Panthers Win
Max Win Prob Swing
66% Shift (Q4)
Highest Leverage Play
Q4 Thrilling Touchdown (5.0)
Current Final WP
100%
Win Probability & Play Leverage Timeline
Current Path
Baseline Path
Leverage Index
Q1 15:00
Q4 00:00
Counterfactual Play Modifiers
Toggle play outcomes to recalculate WP
Counterfactually alter key pivotal plays to test alternative victory scenarios and inspect leverage adjustments.
Q2 Opponent Rushing TD
Q3 Panthers 42y Field Goal
Q4 Thrilling Game-Winning Drive TD
Preseason Depth Contribution
Starter vs Depth Breakdown
| Quarter | Unit Tier | Key Performance Impact | Score Shift |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | Starters | 24-yd TD pass to start game momentum | +7 CAR |
| Q2 | 2nd String | Heavy rushing allowed on goal line | +7 OPP |
| Q3 | 2nd String | 42-yard FG drive management | +3 CAR |
| Q4 | Rookies | Clutch 4th & 2 game-winning TD drive | +7 CAR |
Complete Preseason Drive Flow Log
Panthers Preseason Thriller Summary Card
Baseline game model rendered. 6 drives analyzed across 4 quarters.