Pied-à-Terre Tax Migration & Dynamic Revenue Simulator

Macro-economic elasticity model for NYC luxury second-home surcharges & interstate tax flight
Nominal Surcharge $159.38M Static gross collection
Predicted Departures 675 HNWI household shifts
Gross Tax Leakage $212.50M Income & sales tax lost
Net Revenue Change -$53.12M Annual net balance for NYC
Dynamic Revenue Curve & Laffer Equilibrium Nominal vs Dynamic City Net Revenue ($M)
Static Nominal Revenue Dynamic Net Revenue (With Migration) Laffer Peak Point
Destination Tax Arbitrage Matrix Comparing Effective Total Tax Burden on $8.5M Valuation / $1.5M Income
Jurisdiction / State State Income Tax Effective Prop Tax Pied-à-Terre Surcharge Est. Annual Total Tax Arbitrage Savings vs NYC
Model Diagnostic Proof Parity Verification: Active
Breakeven Elasticity Threshold: 1.35
Migration elasticity where NYC surcharge net revenue becomes $0.0M.
Laffer Peak Surcharge Rate: 0.69%
Tax surcharge rate that maximizes total dynamic city revenue.
Model Baseline Pool: 12,500 units
Estimated NYC luxury second homes subject to evaluation.
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