Evidentiary & Trial Risk
45.0%
65.0%
Negotiated Plea Parameters
10 Yrs
5 Yrs
Original Charges & Statutory Exposure
Max Prison Risk 30.0 Yrs Statutory Trial Maximum
Plea Prison Term 10.0 Yrs + 5.0 Yrs Probation
Net Prison Reduction 66.7% 20.0 Yrs Avoided Risk
Expected Value (EV) 21.8 Yrs Risk-Adjusted Exposure
Charge Progression & Plea Bargain Flow D3 Flow Mapping
Sentence Exposure & EV Comparison (Years) Trial Max vs EV vs Plea
Legal Exposure Audit Summary — State vs. Clenney

Case comparison reveals a 66.7% reduction in maximum incarceration exposure (from 30.0 years down to 10.0 years prison + 5.0 years probation). Negotiated plea shifts severity from a First-Degree Felony to a Second-Degree Felony.

Case Identifier State vs. Clenney
Max Statutory Exposure 30.0 Years
Plea Prison Term 10.0 Years
Plea Probation Term 5.0 Years
Net Incarceration Delta 20.0 Years Avoided
Plea Reduction Pct 66.7% Reduction
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