Federalism Risk Index
High (84%)
Article I, § 4 preemption clash
On-Time Delivery Rate
76.4%
Avg transit vs county cutoff
Est. Disenfranchisement Risk
3.8%
~112,000 ballots at risk
Statutory Injunction Probability
91%
Preliminary 10th Amend injunction
Ballot Chain-of-Custody & Friction Pipeline
● Blue: Normal State Flow
● Amber: Operational Postal Latency
● Red: Federal Directives Invalidation Point
● Green: Final Validated Tabulation
Constitutional Preemption Analysis
| Federal Mandate | State Legal Barrier | Standing & Vulnerability |
|---|
Battleground State Comparative Impact
| State | Postmark Law | Cure Window | Vulnerability |
|---|