US Power Plant Carbon Regulation Impact Explorer

Projected Power Sector CO2 Emissions (2026–2045)

Deregulation Rollback

EPA Compliance Rules

Excess Emissions Area

Units: Gigatons (Gt) CO2 / year. Scrub controls to project alternative policy trajectories. Target benchmark year: 2035 (US NDC Target)

Cumulative Excess CO2 (to 2035)
4.25 Gt
Pollution penalty vs. EPA trajectory

Estimated Public Health Damage
$310 Billion
Asthma, premature deaths, particulate costs

Projected 2035 Emissions
1.48 Gt
Under active rollback policy

Coal Generation Share (2035)
11.8 %
Delayed retirements across grid

Policy Framework

Coal Phase-Out Delay 8 years

0 yr (Accelerated) 8 yr (Current) 15 yr (Extended)

Carbon Intensity Benchmark 1,250 lbs/MWh

600 (Strict CCS) 1,250 (Unregulated) 1,800 (Supercritical)

State Clean Standard Compliance 45%

10% (Fractured) 45% (Moderate) 95% (Universal)

Solar/Wind Addition Multiplier 1.0x

0.5x (Slowdown) 1.0x (Reference) 2.5x (Boom)

Policy Impact Analysis

Rolling back EPA Section 111 rules eliminates carbon capture and storage (CCS) mandates on existing coal and gas units, prolonging fossil thermal operations and generating 4.25 Gt of excess greenhouse gases through 2035.