Chelsea Defensive Streak Status Drought Active
Streak Matches
21
Since Jan Clean Sheet
Goals Conceded
36
During 21-match streak
Conceded / 90
1.71
Per fixture rate
Defensive Errors
14
Leading directly to goals
Next Match Clean Sheet Prob
0.28
Calculated Poisson Model
21-Match Consecutive Drought Timeline (Scrub / Select Fixture)
Showing Match #21
Match 21: Chelsea vs West Ham (Conceded: 1)
Post-January
Opponent xG Allowed
1.65
Goals Conceded
2
Primary Defensive Laps
Uncontested transition break
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Defensive Vulnerability Simulator Stress-test probability
Opponent Baseline xG Allowed:
1.27
Standard Premier League average conceded expectation
Defensive Turnovers / Error Rate:
14
Errors leading directly to opponent shots
Goalkeeper Shot-Stopping Added (PSxG +/-):
0.00
Post-shot xG saved above expected (positive = better goalkeeping)
Simulated Clean Sheet Likelihood Next Fixture:
0.28
(28.0% probability)
At current defensive turnover and concession rates, Chelsea requires ~3.6 games per clean sheet.
Goals Conceded & xGA Progression 21 Consecutive Matches
Zero clean sheets recorded across sequence
Peak Conceded: 4 (Match 8)
Premier League Defensive Drought Benchmark Matrix Recent Competitor Records
| Club | Current Run Without CS | Longest CS Drought (L5Y) | Goals Conceded / 90 | Errors to Goal | Next CS Probability | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🔵 Chelsea (B/R Focus) | 21 Matches | 21 Matches | 1.71 | 14 | 0.28 (28%) | Drought Active |
| 🔴 Arsenal | 1 Match | 7 Matches | 0.76 | 3 | 0.47 (47%) | Resilient |
| ⚪ Manchester City | 2 Matches | 8 Matches | 0.89 | 4 | 0.43 (43%) | Solid |
| 🔴 Liverpool | 0 Matches | 6 Matches | 0.92 | 5 | 0.41 (41%) | CS Active |
| ⚪ Tottenham Hotspur | 6 Matches | 15 Matches | 1.58 | 11 | 0.26 (26%) | Vulnerable |
| ⚫ Newcastle United | 3 Matches | 11 Matches | 1.32 | 8 | 0.31 (31%) | Average |