Matchday 4 Baseline • 2026/27 Season

Premier League Unbeaten Run Forecaster

Simulate tactical pressing, defensive solidity & Poisson survival curves across all 8 undefeated sides
Source: @premierleague official update • 8 Unbeaten Clubs

Tactical Parameters


1.0x
Conserve Energy (0.7x) All-Out Press (1.4x)
1.0x
Resilient (0.6x xGA) Vulnerable (1.4x xGA)
0%
First XI (0%) Heavy Rotation (+30% xGA)
Projected Unbeaten Longevity 6.8 Matches Expected survival through fixtures
3-Match Survival Chance 74.2% Probability of zero defeats
Clean Sheet Expectancy 48.6% Poisson P(Opponent Goals = 0)
Next 3 Scheduled Fixtures for Arsenal Current Run: 4 GP
8 Unbeaten Contenders Longevity Benchmark Poisson Simulation Matrix
# Club Base xG / xGA Survival Probability Projected Streak
Verified Simulation Artifact: Download tactical adjustments, Poisson distributions, and fixture survival projections for this session.
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