Preseason Volatility (PVI)
88.2
+184% vs Reg Season Avg
Turnover Risk Mult
2.45x
Depth-tier anomaly factor
Spec Teams Volatility
78.4
Muff & coverage gap index
Depth Tier Rotation
Roster Bubble / Q3-4
Camp Invites & UDFAs
4-Quarter Volatility & Win Probability Timeline
Scrub game clock or inject live anomaliesSimulated Drive Events & Live Leverage Delta
8 Events LoggedChaos Scenario Composer
Trigger high-variance events typical of late-quarter preseason evaluation and depth rotations.
Bubble Variance Model
Quarter Rotation Index:
Q1: 1s (Low)
Q2: 2s (Med)
Q3: 3s (High)
Q4: Bubble
Late-game preseason EPA swings 3.2x wider than November regular season baselines due to lack of schematic chemistry, aggressive blitzing from roster hopefuls, and high special-teams penalty volume.
Telemetry Report
Extract calibrated preseason volatility matrices and game-script differentials.