Economist-Style Time Series Analytics • Updated Aug 2026
Event & Sandbox Controls
Approval Rating (%)
Disapproval Rating (%)
Catalyst Date Marker
Pre-Event Avg Approval
45.0%
Post-Event Avg Approval
41.6%
Net Approval Delta
-3.4%
Net Disapproval Delta
+4.5%
Attribution Confidence: High correlation (p < 0.05) with event date onset
Analysis Summary: The administration's mid-July resumption of military strikes on Iran directly correlates with a statistical trend rupture in executive approval. Prior to July 15, approval stood at an average of 45.0%, but fell to 41.6% post-event—a net drop of 3.4 percentage points amidst heightened disapproval.
Automated Test Verification Hook
Pre Avg: 45.0 | Post Avg: 41.6
Approval Delta: -3.4 | Disapproval Delta: 4.5
Confidence: High correlation (p < 0.05) with event date onset