CURRENT STAGE
Full Calendar Run
Delegate Race Tally (1,990 to Win)
Floor Risk: Low
1,990 Clinch
Whitmer
Newsom
Mod
Unallocated
2028 Primary Calendar Map & Allocation Breakdown
Whitmer
Newsom
Moderate
Primary Calendar & Delegate Distribution
| State | Date | Delegates | Winner | Margin |
|---|
Momentum Multiplier & Floor Analysis
Early Bounce Impact:
Michigan (117 delegates) serves as a key late early-state benchmark. A Whitmer victory in MI triggers a +12% momentum bounce across Super Tuesday Rust Belt states.
Floor Convention Scenario:
If no candidate reaches 1,990 delegates, unpledged delegates and superdelegates decide the nomination on a second ballot.
SIMULATION CAPABILITY PROOF
Delegate Leader: Whitmer | Total Allocated: 3,979 | Status: COMPLETE