2D Voter Spectrum & Ideological Capture Distribution
Left (-1.0) ← Moderates (0.0) → Right (+1.0)
Primary Winner
Progressive Movement Candidate (Hong)
Margin: +5.6%
Primary Vote Share
Runner-up: 39.2%
General Reach Ceiling
51.4%
Suburban Drag Active
Movement candidate reaches primary victory threshold (+5.6% margin) but faces narrow general election cap due to conservative/moderate elasticity in outlying precincts.
District & Candidate Parameters
Primary Turnout Elasticity
28.5%
Low primary turnout favors movement base; high turnout dilutes ideological core.
Candidates & Media Scrutiny Dynamics
Hong (Progressive)
Ideological Position (Left-Right)
-0.82
Post Scrutiny Drag Penalty
4.5%
Establishment Democrat
Ideological Position
-0.35
Scrutiny Drag Penalty
1.0%
Independent / Moderate
Ideological Position
-0.05
Scrutiny Drag Penalty
0.5%