Cumulative Deal Floor
$13.50M
$2.25 / subscriber / yr
Total Traffic Loss Risk
-$9.56M
24.5% organic decay over 3.0 yrs
Net Contract Yield
+$3.95M
Positive Buffer
Visibility Gap Ratio
26.0x
156 wks deal vs 6 wks sight
Dual-Horizon Cash Flow & Risk Projection
Comparing guaranteed AI data licensing floor against organic search referral erosion across rolling quarters.
Guaranteed AI Fee
Cannibalized Value
Net Value Added
6-Wk Line of Sight
Horizon Stress Analysis
Favorable Deal
| Per-Edition Annual AI Yield | $140,625 / ed / yr |
| Cannibalization Break-Even Rate | 34.6% max decay |
| Rolling 6-Wk Committed Exposure | $519,231 licensing |
| Unhedged Term Beyond Line-of-Sight | 150 Weeks (96.2%) |
The publisher achieves an annual data yield of $2.25/subscriber across 32 editions. Guaranteed licensing outperforms organic referral decay until search erosion reaches 34.6%.
Quarterly Cash Flow Breakdown
All figures in $ USD
| Period | Guaranteed | Decay Loss | Net Yield |
|---|