Audit the arithmetic before the market story.

This checks only the supplied numbers. It does not validate live prices, model accuracy, institutional activity, clinical outcomes, or any investment conclusion.

INTERNAL CONSISTENCY

READY TO AUDIT

INTERNAL ARITHMETIC ONLY
Method: price reward/risk = (target − spot) ÷ (spot − invalidation). Probability mass = profit + neutral + loss. Expected move uses the supplied profit and loss probabilities against their respective price moves while neutral contributes zero. This is arithmetic review, not financial advice.

Check supplied price ratios, probability mass and expected move

Read the explanation

In the supplied IBRX fixture, target ten point zero six minus spot eight point two two gives one point eight four dollars upside. Spot minus invalidation six point three eight also gives one point eight four downside. The price-defined ratio is therefore one, compared with the supplied claimed ratio three point nine three. Bars share one hundred twenty pixels per ratio unit. This is internal arithmetic, not a verification of live prices, source intent or any investment conclusion. The first fixture supplies nineteen percent profit, seventy six point one neutral and four point eight loss, summing to ninety nine point nine percent. The second fixture sums to one hundred percent. Bars share four point five pixels per percentage point. A tenth of a point gap is an arithmetic fact here, not proof of deception or a model accuracy result. The tool does not renormalize probabilities or test whether their outcomes are exhaustive. For the first fixture, one point eight four dollars times nineteen percent minus one point eight four times four point eight percent gives zero point two six one two eight dollars. The second uses symmetric nineteen point five eight dollar moves and forty two point three versus fourteen point nine percent, giving five point three six four nine two dollars. Bars share eighty pixels per dollar. The display rounds to twenty six cents and five dollars thirty six cents. Neutral contributes zero by source assumption; no probability calibration, clinical outcome or realized return is established.

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