Rangers 10th-Inning Breakthrough Win Expectancy Analyzer

Win Expectancy Step Curve (Top 10th Sequence)

Play 3 of 6

BASE-RUNNER MATRIX

OUTS COUNT

Win Expectancy

84.2%

+34.2% in 10th

Leverage Index (LI)

2.85

High Leverage

Expected Runs (RE24)

1.14

Inning Run Matrix

Current Situation

Top 10th | 1 Out

Runner on 2B (Ghost)

Scenario Tweaker

Score Differential: 0 (Tied)

Half Inning: Top 10th

Ghost Runner Rule: Active (2B Start)

MLB extra-innings standard rule applied to RE24 expectations.

Rangers Extra-Innings Stat

When Texas scores 1+ runs in the Top of the 10th during series openers, their historic victory conversion rate jumps to 88.6% compared to 48.2% when held scoreless.

Breakthrough Game State Summary

Texas Rangers Series Opener Win Expectancy Matrix

RANGERS W: 84.2% WE

SIMULATED INNING

Top 10th (1 Out)

BASERUNNER STATE

Runner on 2B

EXPECTED RUNS (RE24)

1.14 Runs

LEVERAGE INDEX

2.85 (High)