"2% inflation is not what is really happening..." — @PeterMallouk "I applaud you for consistently putting out real data on goods that affect the average American, instead of the distorted Fed numbers."

Real Inflation Basket Builder

Drag the weights to match how your family actually spends. Watch your personal inflation curve diverge from the headline CPI line and the Fed's 2% target from 2019 to 2026.

Source: @PeterMallouk · July 23, 2026

Cumulative inflation since 2019

Gap at 2026 +0.0 pp Your basket vs headline CPI

Your personal basket Headline CPI Fed 2% target (compounded) Selected year

Your basket

Drag any weight. The remaining share is "everything else," which tracks headline CPI.

Everything else (≈ headline CPI) 15%

2026

20192020202120222023202420252026

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Annual inflation rate (%)