Retirement Policy Stress Lab

Test how party platforms, congressional tax reforms, and Social Security trust fund adjustments alter your portfolio longevity and real after-tax monthly income.

Scenarios:
Portfolio Longevity
Age 88
• Baseline: Age 92
Stressed Net Monthly
$5,820
-$680/mo (-10.5%)
Lifetime Tax Drag
$284,500
+$48,200 policy diff
Social Security Yield
$612,000
-$128k policy risk

30-Year Portfolio Value Projection (Baseline vs. Stressed)

Hover or scrub horizontally to inspect balance and policy gap across retirement ages.
Current Law Baseline
Policy Stressed
Policy Divergence
Simulation synced. Policy impact evaluated.

Specific Policy Impact Decomposition

Real impact calculated against retirement drawdown phase
Legislative Lever Enacted Assumption Monthly Inflow Impact 30-Yr Asset Drag Mitigation Strategy

The Social Security "Borrowing" Myth

By law under Section 201 of the Social Security Act, payroll surpluses are invested in special-issue U.S. Treasury securities. The federal government does not "raid" the fund arbitrarily, but when annual benefit outlays exceed tax receipts, the Treasury must redeem these bonds with general revenues.

The 2025/2026 TCJA Tax Sunset

Many individual tax cuts from the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act expire unless extended by Congress. Higher pre-tax 401(k) withdrawals face 25% and 28% marginal rates instead of 22% and 24%, increasing the relative value of early Roth conversions.

Party Fiscal Alignment & Deficits

Whether through revenue generation (raising the $168,600+ OASI payroll cap, capital gains surtaxes) or spending control (gradual Full Retirement Age expansion), political debate centers on who bears the adjustment burden: current retirees, high earners, or younger workers.

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