Projected Oil Price
$100.00
+33.3% vs $75 baseline
Regional Equity Impact
-2.4% Average Asian Equities
Nikkei, Kospi, Hang Seng, STI
Currency Stress Index
High (Importer Vulnerability)
JPY & KRW capital outflow pressure
Inflation Pressure Delta
+1.15% annualized CPI impact
Net pass-through lag: 45 days
Asian Stock Market Sensitivity Matrix
MODEL REVISION 4.1
| Index | Region | Oil Beta | Projected Shock | Vulnerability Driver |
|---|
Regional FX & Capital Flight Stress
| Currency Pair | Import Exposure | Estimated FX Depreciation | Central Bank Policy Posture |
|---|
Corporate Portfolio Hedging Cost Planner
Direct cost-of-goods-sold (COGS) drag across heavy consumer sectors assuming unhedged exposure under current escalation.
Aviation & Logistics (Jet Fuel)
-7.8% Operating Margin
Hedging cost up +42 bps
Advanced Semis & Foundry
-2.1% Operating Margin
Clean-power surcharge surge
Petrochemical & Plastics
-4.6% Operating Margin
Naphtha feed crack compression
Upstream Energy Producers
+12.4% EBITDA Expansion
Short-term windfall hedge
Model Status: Deterministic Representative State Verified