Rockies vs Braves Series Matchup & Park Factor Analyzer

Game & Pitching Model

SCENARIO PRESETS

Coors Altitude Hangover (ISO Penalty) -18%

Rockies hit suppression after leaving high altitude (-18% avg baseline).

Braves SP ERA (Home) 3.65

Rockies SP ERA (Road) 5.10

Game Temp & Humidity Impact 84°F (+2%)

Atlanta summer humidity increases batted ball carry to RF/LF.

Simulated Batted Balls 50 Hits

Projected Total Runs

9.3

Braves Run Exp (xR)

5.7

Rockies Run Exp (xR)

3.6

Simulated contact: 50 balls | Launch angle calibrated

Braves Hard Hit (>95mph)

Braves Soft/Ground

Rockies Contact

Home Run Wall Clearance

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	TOT
COL Rockies	0.42	0.38	0.40	0.45	0.41	0.39	0.37	0.39	0.39	3.6
ATL Braves	0.68	0.62	0.65	0.72	0.66	0.61	0.58	0.60	0.58	5.7

Key Deciding Edge: Braves power output vs Rockies road ISO penalty (-18%)