Historical Pace Simulation

Rookie Scoring Pace Tracker

Simulate game-by-game scoring trajectories, project season milestones, and measure historical rookie records against Caitlin Clark's 769-point benchmark.

Player & Pace Model

Historical Benchmark Preset

Player Name

Total Games

Target Record (Pts)

Games Played 32 / 40

Current Scoring Average (PPG) 20.1 PPG

Projection Trajectory

Remaining Games Projected PPG 20.1 PPG

            Projected Total
            804
            +35 pts vs Record
          

Current Points 643 Through 32 games

Required PPG to Break 15.8 Over 8 remaining games

Record Game Projected Game 39 Surpasses 769 mark

Cumulative Scoring Curve vs History

Olivia Miles (Proj.) Caitlin Clark '24 (769) Record Target

Recent & Projected Game Logs

Click any game to edit single-game points

Game #	Status	Points	Cumulative	Season PPG	vs Target Delta

Simulation model initialized. All calculations performed client-side.

WNBA All-Time Rookie Scoring Benchmarks

In 2024, Caitlin Clark set the all-time single-season rookie scoring record with 769 points in 40 games (19.2 PPG), surpassing Seimone Augustus's long-standing 2006 record of 744 points.

Caitlin Clark (2024): 769 points in 40 games (19.2 PPG)
Seimone Augustus (2006): 744 points in 34 games (21.9 PPG)
Diana Taurasi (2004): 698 points in 34 games (17.0 PPG)
Cynthia Cooper (1997): 621 points in 28 games (22.2 PPG)

How the Pace Trajectory Model Works

The pace engine models actual game-level variance using historical distribution curves rather than a flat average. Real games reflect scoring volatility, back-to-backs, and hot/cold streaks.

You can fine-tune any past or remaining game in the interactive log table to observe how a single 30-point explosion or 8-point defensive grind shifts the projected milestone game.