Model Adjustments
Validated
Scenario Presets
78%
72%
65%
Context: Tyler Shough's ability to orchestrate 4th quarter comebacks elevates New Orleans from divisional cellar to playoff contention. This simulator runs a deterministic weighted regression against a 17-game opponent script.
17-Game Schedule Simulation Trajectory
Quarterback Impact Trajectory
Cumulative Projected Win-Pace & Rally Index
Pace: 9.0 Wins
Simulated 17-Game Schedule Matrix
9W - 8L
Season Projection
NFL on CBS Model
Projected Wins
9
Projected Losses
8
Rally Success Rate
78.4%
Playoff Odds
58.2%
Forecast Classification
Competitive Wild Card Contender
Shough's 4th-quarter resilience stabilizes tight NFC South contests, flipping 4 swing matchups into decisive victories.