Japan Scallop De-risking Trade Flow Simulator

Post-Ban Resilience
Harvest Baseline: 140,000 MT
Yield Ratio: 13.5% Meat
Model Unit: Live In-Shell Equiv.
Harvest Processed Rate
100%
0 MT Dock Spoilage
Net Realized Value
¥46.8B
$312.0M USD equiv
Avg Margin / kg Meat
¥2,476
+28.4% gross margin
HHI Concentration Risk
1,820
Moderately Diversified
Domestic Automated Share
42.8%
Capex amort: ¥180/kg
✓
Supply Chain Equilibrium: Total landing of 140,000 MT is successfully handled across domestic automated, manual, and Southeast Asian contract processors without port bottlenecks.
Simulation Presets
Processing Allocation Total: 140k MT
Domestic Automated Shucking 35,000 MT
Domestic Manual Skilled Labor 25,000 MT
SE Asian Contract Shucking (VN/TH) 30,000 MT
China Shucking Hubs (Zhoushan/Dalian) 0 MT
Direct In-Shell Shipping (Unshucked) 20,000 MT
Stress Shocks & Friction
China Import Ban Enforced
Cross-Pacific Freight Surcharge (+35%)
US Cold-Storage Congestion (-10% Yield)
Supply Chain Transformation Architecture (Landing Ports → Processing Nodes → Global End Markets) Metric Tons Flow
Channel Economics & Route Feasibility Breakdown FX: 1 USD = 150 JPY
Destination Channel Live Shell Inflow (MT) Net Meat Outflow (MT) Landed Cost (JPY/kg) Processing Fee (JPY/kg) Freight / Tariff (JPY/kg) Realized Price (JPY/kg) Net Margin (JPY/kg) Net Revenue (Million ¥) Route Feasibility