🏆 11 Consecutive Converted 54-Hole Leads
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FedEx St. Jude Championship
54-Hole Lead: +4 strokes
Final Round: 64 (-6)
Final Margin: +8 strokes
📜 Complete 11-Event Outright Lead Ledger
| # | Tournament | 54h Lead | R4 Score | Margin | Status |
|---|
⚡ Sunday Chase Win Probability Engine
Live Simulation
Simulate final-round pressure, weather volatility, and field birdie rates across 1-to-8 stroke leads.
Calculated Win Probability:
97.4%
PGA Tour Baseline for this lead: 82.0%
Expected Finish Margin: +3.8 strokes
With a 4-stroke cushion and a 68 closing round, Scottie's probability to convert reaches 97.4%, outpacing the Tour average of 82.0% by +15.4%.
Simulation Scenario Presets: