Guga Hunt & Scottish Nationalism Divide Explorer

Sula Sgeir Gannet Harvest, NatureScot Moratorium & Highlands vs Central Belt Coalition Split
Wildlife & Countryside Act 1981 §16 D3.js Population Modeling

Policy Presets & Controls

Annual Guga Harvest Quota 0 birds
HPAI Bird Flu Outbreak Severity 18.5% mortality
Sentinel Disease PCR Surveillance 0% protocol
Outer Hebrides Co-Management Weight 0% devolved
Statutory Derogation: Section 16(1)(a) of the Wildlife and Countryside Act 1981 historically permitted 10 licensed Nessmen to take 2,000 gannet chicks annually on Sula Sgeir.
2024 Refusal Basis: NatureScot cited HPAI (H5N1) seabird decline and precautionary principle under Bern Convention habitats criteria.

Sula Sgeir 10-Year Gannet Colony Trajectory

Colony Resilience (Yr 10)
10,840
Baseline: 11,200 pairs
Gaelic Heritage Index
12 / 100
Tradition Suspended
SNP Coalition Alignment
54%
Urban-Island Split

Nationalist Electoral Cleavage & Multi-Stakeholder Assessment

Na h-Eileanan an Iar (Islands Autonomy / Gaelic Core) Glasgow & Edinburgh (Urban Green-SNP Progressive Base)
Island Base Satisfaction: 15% Central Belt Green Base Satisfaction: 88%
Ness Guga Hunters
Gùga Men of Lewis
Severe Grievance
Views ban as cultural erasure of a 500-year sustenance ritual by Edinburgh civil servants.
NatureScot Ecologists
Statutory Conservator
Policy Satisfied
Prioritizes Sula Sgeir SPA biodiversity targets after H5N1 avian influenza colony trauma.
Comhairle nan Eilean Siar
Western Isles Council
Moderate Tension
Demands island self-determination and scientific co-management rather than blanket bans.
Holyrood SNP Leadership
Parliamentary Coalition
Vulnerable Margin
Trapped between retaining Western Isles parliamentary seats and urban progressive eco-voters.
Scenario: 2024 NatureScot Ban | 10-Yr Gannet Pairs: 10,840 | Heritage: 12/100
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