Drive Play-by-Play Log 0 Plays
| # | Down | Concept | Yds | Result | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drive in progress. Run first play. | |||||
Cumulative EPA by Play Neutral
Kiffin Uptempo vs. Heavy Fronts
When Ole Miss runs tempo at over 90% snap pace, defensive coordinators struggle to substitute sub-packages. Inside zone and quick RPOs punish base Cover 3 fronts by freezing boundary safeties before gap fits can materialize.
Expected Points Added (EPA) in SEC Play
Standard rushing averages mask efficiency. A 3-yard run on 3rd & 2 generates high positive EPA (+1.2), while a 5-yard pass on 3rd & 12 yields negative EPA (-0.6). This model evaluates historical down-and-distance leverage curves.
The 4th-Down Aggressiveness Frontier
Modern college football staff metrics demonstrate that between the opponent 40-yard line and 15-yard line, converting on 4th & 3 or shorter yields over 65% break-even positive win probability compared to punts or mid-range kicks.