Semiconductor Supply Chain US Manufacturing Simulator INTEL 18A / US FAB

ACTIVE SCENARIO: Balanced Dual-Sourcing
DOMESTIC RESILIENCE: HIGH
Foundry Output Telemetry MODEL: INTEL-US-FAB-v2.6
Effective Yield Rate
91.4%
Ramped node blend
Unit Cost Delta
+14.2%
vs overseas pure fab
Geopolitical Risk Score
22.5
Lower is safer (0-100)
Time to Volume Market
18 mos
Full packaging ramp
Volume Sensitivity & Risk Trade-off
Yield Rate (%)
Unit Cost Delta (%)
Risk Score
Supply Chain Stage Bottleneck Analysis
1. Wafer Fabrication 92% CAP

Intel Ohio/Arizona fabs allocating EUV lines for high-density Apple memory substrate.

2. Advanced Packaging BOTTLENECK

Foveros / 2.5D substrate capacity ramp critical; currently limiting immediate sub-12mo rollout.

3. Final Sub-Assembly STABLE

North American test & assembly facilities operational with lower transit friction.

Executive Sourcing Verdict
Proceed with dual-sourcing model leveraging Intel U.S. nodes for domestic resilience.
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