MLB ANALYTICS

Shohei Ohtani Postseason IL Recovery & Timeline Workbench

Source: @SportsCenter Analyst: @Buster_ESPN Slug: shohei-ohtani-postseason-recovery-53
SPORTSCENTER REPORT · CAPTURED SEPTEMBER 2026
"They're now just hoping that [Ohtani] gets it back in time for the postseason."
@Buster_ESPN on Shohei Ohtani's injury status after being placed on the IL ⚾️
Observed Reach 82K
Player Target Shohei Ohtani
Target Kickoff 2026-10-01
Timeline Parameters Placed on IL

Adjust rehabilitation timeline days and medical pacing intensity

Day 3
15 Days (Minimum)
Rehabilitation Protocol Intensity
Projected Return Date 2026-09-22
Days Before Postseason 9
Game 1 Readiness Chance 84%
Outlook Classification Ready for Game 1
Rehab Milestones & Countdown T-21 Days to October 1

Live trajectory between IL placement and Postseason Game 1 kickoff

Wild Card Round / Game 1
Target: Oct 1, 2026
84%
Division Series (NLDS)
Target: Oct 7, 2026
93%
League Championship Series (NLCS)
Target: Oct 16, 2026
98%
Shohei Ohtani · Impact Assessment & Historical Benchmarks ELITE TWO-WAY FACTOR

High-leverage performance metrics and projected team win probability impact upon return

Scenario / Discipline Batting Avg (.AVG) OPS Projected HR Rate Pitching WHIP (Pen/Starter) Dodgers Postseason Win Prob Shift
Full Return (DH + Leadoff) .292 1.014 1 HR per 11.2 AB — (Batting Priority) +14.8%
Limited Plate Appearances (Pinch Hitter) .264 .890 1 HR per 16.5 AB +6.2%
Inactive / Sidelined (Baseline Roster) .245 .738 1 HR per 26.0 AB 1.28 WHIP (Bullpen baseline) -11.4% (Relative)
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