Plot custom shot locations on the court, simulate shooting volume and efficiency, and calculate projected pacing to major scoring & three-point milestones like Kelsey Mitchell’s 1,022-point seasons.
Game-by-game scoring accumulation toward target mark
Inspired by Kelsey Mitchell’s high-volume three-point pace and milestone records.
Effective Field Goal % (eFG% = [FGM + 0.5 × 3PM] / FGA) reflects that a 35% three-point shooter produces the same scoring yield as a 52.5% two-point shooter. High perimeter volume rapidly shifts milestone timelines.
True Shooting % (TS% = PTS / [2 × (FGA + 0.44 × FTA)]) captures the hidden multiplier of trips to the charity stripe. A guard drawing 4–5 fouls per night protects scoring pace even on cold shooting nights.
When tracking milestone ceilings (like 1,000+ points in a single campaign), back-to-backs and defensive matchups dictate volatility. The trajectory engine models sustainable required scoring rates.