Economic Stability Index
71.0
/ 100
Moderate-High Resilience
Unresolved Abandoned Towers
114
of 360
246 absorbed / completed
GDP Growth (Year 3)
4.2
% YoY
Trajectory: Legitimate Real Economy
Tourism Recovery Index
68.5
%
Baseline vs. 2019 pre-scam peak
Formal Employment Rate
74.2
%
Replaced casino/scam compound workforce
5-Year Structural Transition Trajectory
GDP Growth (%)
Formal Employment (%)
Tourism Index (%)
Ghost Tower Clearance Status
68.3% Cleared
Absorbed / Repurposed: 246
Unfinished Shells: 114
| Transition Factor | Current Value | Impact Risk |
|---|---|---|
| Illicit Capital Outflow | -$1.42B / yr | Severe Liquidity Shock |
| SEZ Factory Inflow | +$680M / yr | Healthy Diversification |
| Hotel Occupancy Yield | 54.2% | Gradual Normalization |
Macroeconomic Transition Assessment
Under the representative calibration (Crackdown Intensity: 85%, SEZ Incentives: 70%, Infrastructure: 55%, FDI Stabilization: 40%), Sihanoukville faces an initial contraction from immediate scam compound expulsion, but builds a sustainable legal economic foundation by Year 3. With 246 of the 360 unfinished towers repurposed into legal warehousing, standard hospitality, and light manufacturing, formal employment stabilizes at 74.2%, and regional GDP expands at 4.2% annually.