Sinopec H1 Profit Resilience Workbench

Energy Economics
Model State: Active | Benchmark H1 +19.3%
Scenarios:
Half-Year Net Profit Delta
+19.3%
vs Prior Period (H1 YoY)
Composite Refining Margin
$8.40/bbl
Diesel/Gasoline 3:2:1 Spread
Geopolitical Crude Slate
$78.50/bbl
Risk Premium: +14.2%
Domestic Demand Trajectory
-3.8%
Retail fuel throughput drag

Segment Net Profit Contribution Waterfall

Calculated in % pts contribution
Resilience Mechanism: Downstream refining margins (+24.5% margin delta) and steady upstream E&P production offset domestic industrial chemical softness (-8.4%) and transport fuel demand contraction (-3.8%).

Refinery Output Slate & Product Yields

Dynamic Barrel Balancing
Diesel Fuel (Transport/Agri) 34.0% ($18.2/bbl crack)
Motor Gasoline 28.5% ($14.6/bbl crack)
Aviation Jet/Kerosene 12.5% ($19.8/bbl crack)
Petrochemical Feedstock/Naphtha 25.0% ($4.1/bbl crack)

Geopolitical & Margin Stress Knobs

Live Scrubbing
+14.2%
$78.50
-3.8%
$8.40
-8.4%
1.36x
Deterministic State Export Ready
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