9984.T | OTC: SFTBY

SoftBank Short Squeeze & Margin Call Risk Simulator

Bloomberg Scenarios:
Market Parameters Live Engine
¥9,450
¥8,100
42.0M
14.5M
32.5%
Calm 24%
Baseline 32.5%
Spike 55%
4.8%
Aggregate Short Loss ¥56.70B Loss at Current Price vs Entry
Days to Cover 2.9 Shorts / Average Daily Volume
Rally Since Entry +16.67% Price appreciation over ¥8,100
Margin Call Threshold ¥9,850 Estimated Forced Liquidation Level
Mark-to-Market Loss Curve vs Equity Rally Price Current Price: ¥9,450
Red Zone: Margin Liquidation & Forced Buy-in
Squeeze Risk Verdict High
Forced Buy-in Pressure Score 84.5 / 100

Short positions are under severe underwater pressure (+16.67% rally). Price is only ¥400 below the estimated retail & institutional broker margin call threshold of ¥9,850.

Liquidation Dynamics Concentration Risk
Shorts as % Float / Daily Vol: 289.7% of Daily Vol
Daily Borrow Cost Carry: ¥52.2M / day
Buffer to Margin Liquidation: ¥400 (+4.23%)
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