Strategy Pivot Presets
Wedge Intensity Parameters
1.0x
1.0x
Precinct Cohort Elasticities
Net Margin Swing
-14.8 pts
Projected Incumbent %
50.4%
Challenger %
49.6%
Net Votes Shifted
-9,213
Base Turnout Drag
6.4%
Precinct Swing Vectors (Baseline Margin vs. Shift)
Arrow direction indicates net vote margin movement
Precinct Demographic Margin Waterfall
| Cohort / Demographic | Turnout Share | Baseline Margin | Turnout Impact | Persuasion Swing | Net Projected Margin | Net Vote Shift |
|---|