Projected Peak Rank #9 Day 7 of surge
Peak Daily Streams 4.12M +71.7% from today
60-Day Cumulative 134.8M $512.2k gross
Top 10 Probability 78% Velocity: Fast
60-Day Global Streaming & Rank Projection
Daily Streams (Millions)
Projected Chart Rank (Inverted)
Top 10 Threshold (~3.8M)
Timeline Daily Streams Projected Rank Status Tier Accrued Streams Accrued Master Royalties
Model calculated. Showing 60-day projected surge trajectory.
How this Spotify chart & breakout trajectory model works

Global chart leaps like Sienna Spiro's ‘Great Expectation’ jumping +14 spots to #24 with 2.4M streams represent critical viral inflection points. Chart positions on Spotify Global follow a strict power-law distribution:

  • Top 10 Threshold: Typically requires between 3.7M and 4.2M daily streams depending on holiday seasons and competing blockbuster album drops.
  • #1 Global Threshold: Ranges from 5.5M to 9.5M+ streams depending on global megahit velocity.
  • Decay & Plateau Dynamics: Breakout records undergo a logistic acceleration followed by exponential decay toward a recurring catalog baseline (usually 15–25% of peak streaming velocity).
Enjoy this tool? Build your own with Super