OFAC / TREASURY ALERT SIM

US Treasury Sanctions Impact Simulator

MODEL REV: 2026.4-GSIB | SOURCE: @WatcherGuru
INTEL DISPATCH Treasury Secretary Bessent: US Treasury preparing targeted sanctions on large systemic bank next week. Interbank exposure stress test active.
Interbank Contagion Force Graph
Drag nodes to test settlement routing | Pulse indicates capital shock
Epicenter (Direct Sanction)
Contagion Spillover (>15% Liquidity Hit)
Insulated Buffer
Contagion Nodes Affected 7 / 10 G-SIBs
7
Counterparties facing immediate liquidity margin calls
Systemic Liquidity Drain $BN USD
$382.5B
Capital blocked from Fedwire & CHIPS settlement
Peak CDS Spread 5Y SENIOR
310 bps
Credit Default Swap proxy surge over 65 bps baseline
Tier-1 Capital Depletion CET1 IMPAIRMENT
4.2%
Aggregate CET1 erosion across Tier-1 lending network
Stress Parameters & Presets
Tier-1 G-SIB
0.85 (85%)
Targeted Asset Freeze (10%) Total Comprehensive Block (100%)
$450 B
$100B (Ring-fenced) $1,000B (Systemic)
12.5 %
5.0% (Severe Run) 25.0% (Fortress Balance)
65 bps
Systemic Contagion Risk Meter CRITICAL (87/100)
Normalized Moderate Squeeze Uncontrolled Contagion
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Interbank Nodes Stress Audit SORT: VULNERABILITY
Institution Tier Capital Shock CDS Spread Status
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