Treaty Arbitration Anatomy: CK Hutchison v. Panama

Hong Kong-Panama BIT (2016) ICSID Convention Concessions: Balboa & Cristóbal
ICSID PROCEDURAL PHASE PROGRESSION Phase: Jurisdiction Phase (Month 18)
Notice (0m) Tribunal (6m) Jurisdiction (18m) Merits (36m) Quantum (48m) Award (60m) Enforcement (72m)
CLAIM TOPOLOGY & LEGAL ARCHITECTURE
Treaty Breach Evidence Quantum
Breach Theory
Direct & Indirect Expropriation
Alleged termination or substantial deprivation of long-term Balboa and Cristóbal port concessions without prompt, adequate, and effective compensation.
CLAIMANT ARGUMENT (HUTCHISON)

Panama's regulatory interventions and concession invalidations destroyed fair market value and constitute unlawful indirect taking under Article 6.

DCF QUANTUM DAMAGES ENGINE Chorff Valuation
ESTIMATED NET DAMAGES $1.47 Billion
Claimant Claim: $1.50B | Sensitivity Bracket: $0.80B – $1.80B
DOCUMENTARY EVIDENCE SUFFICIENCY 4/4 Mapped (Optimal)
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