UK Hottest Summer Climate Delta Tracker

2026 Live Model
Source: Polymarket @Polymarket (+1.88°C baseline signal)
+1.88°C
🔥
UK Meteorological Regional Micro-Deltas Click region to isolate distribution
Local Anomaly (°C)
+0.0°C +1.5°C +3.0°C+
South East England (Selected)
Local Anomaly
+2.35°C
vs National +1.88°C
Projected Summer Mean
20.55°C
Prev Record: 20.10°C (2022)
Record Shift Prob.
88.4%
P(T > Prev Max)
Temperature Probability Density Curve Baseline vs Current Anomaly

Shifting mean national temperature introduces non-linear expansion in extreme tail probabilities.

Regional Anomaly & All-Time Max Record Exceedance Breakdown
UK Weather Region Baseline Mean (°C) Local Anomaly (°C) Projected Summer Mean (°C) Previous Record (°C) Record Year Status
Enjoy this tool? Build your own with Super