UK-EU Single Market Access & Veto Matrix

🛡️ European Commission Indivisibility Monitor (Four Freedoms) COMMISSION COMPLIANT

1. Free Goods

Zero Tariffs & Regulatory Union

2. Free Services

Passporting & Establishment

3. Free Capital

Unrestricted Capital Movement

4. Free Movement (Persons)

Reciprocal Rights Intact

The EU Council and European Parliament maintain that the Four Freedoms are strictly indivisible. "Cherry-picking" goods without persons guarantees a Commission veto.

Border Friction Index

12 / 100

Minimal sanitary/SPS checks

Service Access Index

92%

Single-market passporting

Rule-Taker Deficit

High

No Council seat, no MEPs

Est. Budget Burden

£2.8B / yr

EEA cohesion contribution

🗺️ EU-27 & EFTA Bilateral Veto Vulnerability Board 0 Fatal Vetoes • 1 Negotiation Alert

Because single market reintegration requires unanimity, individual capitals can leverage bilateral claims or domestic red-lines to block ratification:

Model	Legal Ratification Basis	Veto Risk Level	Four Freedoms	Democratic Vote in EU
Current TCA Baseline	EU Art. 217 TFEU (Ratified)	Zero (Status Quo)	Fragmented (Goods tariff-free, hard services barrier)	None (3rd Country)
EEA / Norway Model	EEA Art. 128 (Unanimity: 30 States)	Moderate (EFTA state balancing + EU-27)	Strict Indivisibility (Full 4 Freedoms)	None ("Fax Democracy" Rule-Taker)
Swiss Bilateral Framework	Dozens of mixed bilateral accords	Extreme (EU Council has rejected repeating this model)	Guillotine clause linkage	None (Complex Joint Committees)
Custom Sectoral Goods	Association Agreement (Art. 217)	Fatal (EU Commission Indivisibility Veto)	Breaches Indivisibility Doctrine	None
Full EU Rejoining	Article 49 TEU (Strict Unanimity: 27/27)	Severe (Every single EU parliament/referendum holds veto)	Full 4 Freedoms + Eurozone commitment	Full (Council seat, MEPs, EU Commissioner)

Side-by-Side Model Ratification Analysis

Export Dossier Snapshot