⚙ Policy Mix & Geopolitical Scenarios

Select a pre-calibrated scenario or manually adjust cross-border policy levers.

50%
Rollback of retaliatory import tariffs, lumber/steel disputes, and commercial trade hostility.
40%
Demilitarized protocols at crossings, de-escalation training, end of intrusive traveler interrogations.
30%
Cessation of annexation rhetoric, respectful bilateral rhetoric, and mutual recognition of sovereignty.
10%
Hotel & destination-backed "At Par" promotions offsetting the weak Canadian dollar exchange rate.
💬 Canadian Traveler Voices & Boycott Factors

Direct insights derived from active cross-border traveler testimonies.

"The punks and thugs of US CBP and ICE have stomped out any desire Canadians had to visit... It's not worth the risk of harassment, searches, and detention."
Key Driver: Border Aggression Weight: High
"I have about 10 Canadian friends who sold their winter homes in the US. Many snowbirds returned early... We now spend time locally in Niagara."
Key Driver: Snowbird Real Estate Divestment Weight: Medium-High
"My wife and I will probably resume going to the wonderful music camps available there once respect is restored, but our grocery boycott remains."
Key Driver: Cultural & Arts Exchange Weight: Moderate
📊 Cross-Border Tourism Recovery Telemetry Live Simulation Engine
Recovery Score
42.5%
Projected Return
450,000 / mo
Trust Index
38.2 / 100
Annual Revenue Delta
+$3.18 B
Economic Impact Trajectory
Partial Recovery with Persistent Hesitancy
Primary Operational Bottleneck
Border security protocol perception and lingering consumer boycotts
📈 Projected Monthly Canadian Cross-Border Visits (2026–2028) Baseline vs. Policy Model
Status Quo Boycott Baseline (1.05M/mo)
Simulated Policy Recovery Trajectory
Pre-Crisis Historical Norm (2.25M/mo)
🏢 Sector-by-Sector US Economic Impact Assessment
Border State Hospitality +39%
Hotels, motels, and diners in NY, WA, VT, MI, and ME border communities.
Snowbird Sunbelt Real Estate +31%
Seasonal rentals and condo retention in Florida, Arizona, California, and Gulf Coast.
Duty-Free & Border Outlets +44%
Port-of-entry stores and outlet malls recovering from multi-year solvency strains.
Cultural & Music Camps +48%
Grassroots arts retreats, acoustic workshops, and summer masterclasses.
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