US-DPRK Summit Diplomacy Matrix & Scenario Simulator

Negotiation Frameworks

Select diplomatic archetype or adjust custom levers below.

Sequencing Speed: 18 Months

Verification Rigor:

US & Allied Concessions

Partial UNSC Civilian Sanctions Relief Establishment of Bilateral Liaison Offices Joint Non-Aggression & Peace Roadmap Joint US-ROK Exercise Reductions

DPRK Denuclearization Levers

Yongbyon Freeze & IAEA Monitors Formal ICBM & Nuclear Test Moratorium Undeclared Site Declaration Phase 1 Warhead & Fissile Material Export/Transfer

Sequencing Pathway & Mutual Leverage Chart D3 Reciprocal Curve

US Leverage Value

DPRK Concession Value

Net Confidence Line

Tranche Timeline Architecture

Phase I (M0-6)

Confidence Building

Moratorium + Liaison Office

Phase II (M6-18)

Yongbyon & Waivers

IAEA Yongbyon + Partial Relief

Phase III (M18+)

Deep Verification

Undeclared Sites + Peace Regime

Intelligence Briefing

Strategic Stability Assessment

Conditional De-escalation with Phased Reciprocity

Critical Breakdown Point

Undeclared enrichment site verification disputes in Month 12-18 tranche

Recommended Risk Mitigation

Front-load reciprocal confidence-building declarations before high-stakes fissile inspection triggers

Domestic Political Sustainability:

Washington (Congress/Allies): Moderate (55%)

Pyongyang (Regime Security): High (78%)

Policy Export Options