WALK-OFF HOME RUN
Deep drive clears the right-field fence at 408 ft. Game-winner in the 9th!
Expected BA: .940
Projected Distance
408ft
Apex Height
92ft
Hang Time
5.4s
Wall Clearance
+16.4ft
Hard-Hit Status
BARREL
Home Plate Cam · Drag to Orbit
LF: 330 ft CF: 400 ft RF: 330 ft
Simulation calibrated with Magnus effect, air density (1.204 kg/m³), and drag deceleration.

Statcast "Barrel" Classification

An official MLB "Barrel" represents batted balls with the optimal pairing of exit velocity and launch angle, yielding an expected batting average of at least .500 and slugging percentage of at least 1.500.

  • Requires minimum 98.0 mph exit velocity.
  • Ideal launch angle window starts between 26°–30°.
  • For every 1 mph increase up to 116 mph, the allowable launch window expands by 2°–3°.

Magnus Lift & Aerodynamic Drag

Baseball flight does not follow pure parabolic Newtonian mechanics. Backspin induces upward Magnus force counteracting gravity, while air friction causes heavy speed decay before impact:

  • Drag coefficient $C_d$ ranges between 0.30 and 0.36 depending on seam orientation.
  • A 2,200 rpm backspin ball generates sufficient vertical lift to add 25–40 feet of carry distance.
  • Higher humidity and elevation (e.g. Denver Coors Field) reduce air resistance drastically.

Ballpark Asymmetry & Outfield Walls

Every Major League ballpark features distinct outfield geometry that determines whether a drive is caught or clears the fence:

  • American Family Field: 330 ft down the corners, 8-ft wall in right where Chourio drove his walk-off.
  • Fenway Park: The 37-ft Green Monster in left field turns routine fly balls into doubles or high caroms.
  • Yankee Stadium: 314-ft short porch to right field rewards pull-side lefties.

Frequently Asked Questions

What made Jackson Chourio's Game 2 walk-off hit historically notable?

Jackson Chourio became one of the youngest players in MLB Postseason history to hit a game-tying or walk-off home run, combining elite bat speed with an optimal 28° launch angle that carried 400+ feet into the right-field seats, bypassing deep defensive shifts.

How does backspin affect whether a ball leaves the park?

Without backspin, a 105 mph ball hit at 28° would drop around 360–375 feet due to gravity and air drag. The Magnus force created by 2,000+ rpm backspin creates higher air pressure underneath the ball, generating aerodynamic lift that extends carry beyond 405 feet.

How is Expected Batting Average (xBA) computed?

xBA evaluates millions of historical batted balls with similar exit velocity, launch angle, and horizontal spray direction. Hits launched at 105+ mph with launch angles between 24° and 32° possess an xBA exceeding .900 regardless of defensive positioning.

Are these calculations performed locally on my computer?

Yes. The simulation runs complete numerical integration of drag and Magnus differential equations locally in your browser, rendering the flight path and stadium in real-time WebGL.

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