“Deshaun Watson is no longer a good quarterback. Hasn’t been for years. Jimmy Haslam’s name might be on the checks, but the list of people stuck paying the bill for the worst trade in franchise history continues to grow.”
— Jason Lloyd, Senior Writer, The Athletic (@ByJasonLloyd)
EPA / Play Delta
-0.23 Decline
Pre-trade: +0.18 → Post-trade: -0.05
Total Guaranteed Cost
$230M
100% Fully Guaranteed at Signing (5 yrs)
ESPN QBR Rating Drop
-30.2 pts
Pre: 68.4 QBR (Elite) → Post: 38.2 QBR (Bottom Tier)
Draft Capital Surrendered
6 Picks
3 First-Rounders ('22, '23, '24) + 3 Day-2/3 picks

Quarterback Efficiency: Pre-Trade (Houston) vs Post-Trade (Cleveland)

Expected Points Added (EPA) per play and ESPN Total QBR across key career phases

Pre-Trade (HOU) Post-Trade (CLE)
Performance Metric Houston Texans (Pre-Trade) Cleveland Browns (Post-Trade) Net Decline NFL Percentile Shift
EPA per Play +0.18 (Top 5 NFL) -0.05 (Bottom 8 NFL) -0.23 EPA/Play Decline 92nd → 24th
ESPN Total QBR 68.4 38.2 -30.2 Pts Drop 88th → 18th
Passing TD / Start 1.7 TD / G 1.1 TD / G -0.6 TD / G 84th → 32nd
Passer Rating 104.5 80.8 -23.7 Rating 94th → 29th
Sack Rate (%) 7.2% 10.4% +3.2% Pressure Inefficiency 45th → 98th (Worst)
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