Select Schedule Day
Aug 2026
Implied Full Lid < 6:30 PM Odds
68%
● Lid Expected Before 6:30 PM
8:00 AM
1:00 PM
6:30 PM Cutoff
8:00 PM
Schedule Signals & Events
Bayesian Evidence Summary
Loading baseline updating models...
0.42
Prior Prob (P)
2.92
Likelihood Ratio
0.68
Posterior Prob
68%
Market Implied
Historical Full Lid Time-of-Day Density & Cutoff
Press Pool Archive Model
Intraday Bayesian Update Path
Accumulated Signal Shift
Weekly Schedule Signal Matrix
| Day | Key Event / Signal | Signal Weight (LR) | Status |
|---|